Election Betting
11 articles · 2 tweets · Score 1379 · Volume 134
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A new Nepali party, led by an ex-rapper, is set for a landslide win in parliamentary election
Nepal's ex-rapper-led political party poised for landslide parliamentary election victory following Gen Z protests that removed decades-old leadership.

Rapper Backed by Gen Z Is Set for Landslide Win in Nepal Election
Rapper Balendra Shah, backed by Gen Z voters, poised for landslide victory in Nepal's prime ministerial election.

Rapper-politician Balendra Shah set to be Nepal's next prime minister
Rapper-politician Balendra Shah poised to become Nepal's next prime minister, marking a significant political shift in the South Asian nation.

Daines’s last-minute retirement maneuver leaves Capitol Hill stunned — and some frustrated
Sen. Steve Daines's surprise retirement announcement and backing of Kurt Alme upends Montana Senate race and shocks political establishment.

Iran war threatens to scramble the 'affordability' midterm
Iran war threatens to disrupt US midterm election forecasts centered on affordability issues, impacting political prediction markets.
Opinion: The immorality of betting on war
Prediction market traders profited significantly betting on U.S. military strikes against Iran, sparking ethical debate over wagering on armed conflict and human suffering.

Republican representative Darrell Issa of California says he will not run for re-election
Rep. Darrell Issa announces he will not seek re-election, creating an open California House seat in 2026.

Vulnerable California Republican Darrell Issa Drops Re-election Bid
California Republican Darrell Issa withdraws re-election bid amid challenging redistricted race.

Vast wraps $500 million funding round as company vies for NASA space station contract
Vast completes $500M funding round while competing for NASA commercial space station contract, indicating growing private sector involvement in orbital infrastructure.
Ex-Marine forcibly removed from hearing vows to continue Senate campaign
Brian McGinnis, Green Party Senate candidate from North Carolina, vows to continue campaign after removal from congressional hearing.

From guns to ballots: FARC's campaign for votes in Colombia
Former FARC commander competes in Colombian elections a decade after peace deal, transitioning from armed conflict to electoral politics.

Related Tweets
“@Squee451 That will win every election until the end of time.”
“@Nostroah @eightyhi @Kalshi That is a great use case for sure... and can only hope my 16 year old makes that kind of a choice when off to college! But the problem here is fairly obvious: prediction markets crossed the Rubicon to sports betting... we…”